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[J].??????,2003(3).

[2] ???.????????????????[J].???????????,2004,(1):158-159.

[3] ???.????????????????[J].????,2003(11).

[4] ??.?????????????????????????[J].??????,2003(11).

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Abstract

tertiary industry occupies an important place in the national economy which not only affect peoples life but also led to developm-ent of other industries. The tertiary industry in our country after the reform and opening up the rapid development but in the process also exposed some problems need to solve.

Three major industries in the whole national economy of the share, can not only reflect a country (or region) of the scale of production, but also can reflect the industrial structure of the country. Will use prediction method, this paper adopts the method of least squares, deterministic coefficient and correlation coefficient test, to carries on the analysis, thus a more profound understanding of the third industry and the relationship between GDP and influence as well as its major contributions.

This article through our country over the years the tertiary industry output value and gross domestic product of linear regression and prediction analysis of the actuality of the tertiary industry, highlight the importance of the tertiary industry to the national economy at the same time, some problems exposed in the high speed development of the. Our country should scientifically the orderly development of the tertiary industry.

Keywords: the tertiary industry ; speed of development; increment;GDP(Gross Domestic Product)

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